In Trump's mind we are safer without NATO. Finland and Poland have long since abandoned reliance on the US. They know the lessons of WWII all too well, so they have chosen to go it alone. Finland which has historically been deemed a neutral zone, with no meaningful fear of Russian interference, has abandoned the anti-mine Treaty and has made its border something akin to the DMZ which separates North and South Korea.
Poland knows better than any other European country to not rely on Europe or the US. Poland knows if Ukraine falls, they become the front line, and Europe will not help.
Europe will cave to Trump because they have no resolve. Money and resources will be waisted trying to fight Trump, to only in the end to cave.
European leaders are pondering whether they will impose an anti-coercion provision to punish the US on trade. It will change nothing if they do, because Trump will not be stopped.
Until the European countries recall their ambassadors for consultation, the Republicans in the Senate will not be moved. Even then Trump will still move forward.
Europe sees the Democrats as weak and lacking in resolve to stand up against Trump. They are not far off, because the latest polls show the American people feel the same. Compounding this, those under 30 trust neither the Democrats nor the Republicans.
If this mess comes to blow, I believe the world will blame the US and not just because of Trump, but because Congress abandoned its constitutional duty to protect the Republic from a tyrant. The focused blame will be on the Democrats. History will record the Democrats as the party of cowards playing coy with Trump in hopes they take control after the midterms. If a political party collapses over this mess, it will be the Democrats. The Democrats stand with no one. while the Republicans stand with MAGA.
WHAT IS SO EXTRAORDINARY IS TRUMP'S USE OF TARIFFS COULD COME TO AN END ON JANUARY 26TH, WHEN THE SUPREME COURT IS EXPECTED TO RULE ON THE ISSUE
Qualified Supreme Court watchers have known for two months the tariff decision will come down on the 26th. The date has been set for months as the date the Supreme Court will hand down its first set of decisions of the new year. I think 2 have already been released, but they were easy cases in terms of getting ready for release. The tariff case requires the Supreme Court to set a date certain for when a dissent or concurring decision must be submitted. Less complex decisions do not require this type of calendaring.
In light of the mess with Europe the Court can move the release of the tariff decision forward. Moving the release forward to help Trump will only compound the mess with Europe.
LET'S WAIT AND SEE WHAT COMES OUT OF EUROPE TODAY
If Trump invokes the Insurrection Act the Republic will fail as the US military is deployed to Minnesota to face the National Guard. Who will blink first. To avoid being party to this inevitable meltdown of order, every military officer needs to resign before being part of the deployment, if called for.
Every commander has to know, if Trump is removed from office over the deployment of the military, they will be brought before Congress and eventually possibly face a trial. Trump needs to show reserve, rather than compromise his presidency further, and to protect our military leaders from having to take sides.
Nothing I said implies I believe Trump will issue an illegal order. I am not comfortable with the idea a military commander refusing an order from Trump as illegal. Now if Congress were to declare the order as illegal, maybe. Trust me the day commanders can refuse to follow Trump's orders as illegal, or for that matter any other president, the Republic will fall.
We have mechanisms in our system which can protect our commanders while following orders from the Commander in Chief.
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