THERE ARE A LOT OF KEY OBSERVATIONS

I am looking at November and how the Democrats can win.  

UPDATE:  THE DEMOCRATS SURGE IN TEXAS

The Senate race was very high profile for both the Republicans and Democrats.  As of this moment, more Democrats voted in these high-profile races than Republicans.

My percentages are rounding up.

94% of the Republican Vote is in.              93% of the Democratic Vote is in

2,141,929    Total Votes                                2,252,358    Total Votes

East Texas is interesting.  Since Katrina, Louisiana blacks have been moving into Texas, and in particular East Texas. While Gina Hinojosa has not done well in east Texas, Crocket has.  The return in Dallas is a mess and may not come in until after midnight.  Dallas is clearly Crockett country.

Gina Hinojosa could pick up votes in East Texas, if Crockett is on Novembers ballot.  Until Dallas comes in, we have no way of knowing if it is Talarico or Crocket.

The numbers are interesting.  In both the Governor's and Senate race, both parties are head-to-head in turn out.  It is still early and maybe in the end the Republicans will have a clear lead in total votes.

The NYT page is the best place to follow this.  Right now, the Democratic turnout surpasses the Republican turnout in both the Governor's and Senate.  Things could change really fast.

Texas Primary 2026: Live Election Results - The New York Times

NEWS UPDATE:  TEXAS SUPREME COURT STOPS COUNTING IN DALLAS OF BALLOTS AFTER 7 P.M.

In Dallas because of voting confusion, the polls were kept open after 7 p.m.  All ballots after 7 p.m., are provisional ballots and for now will not be counted.

This could delay a final count for weeks.  What a mess.  The Democrats may not be able to call the Senate race.  We do not need in fighting over this mess.  Talarico needs to be quiet.

Early voting in Dallas was reported before the count was shut down.  

Crockett      60.75%

Talarico       38.18%

Given the statewide returns of Talarico at 820,452 to Crocket 749,368, depending on how many good ballots can be counted in Dallas, Crockett would win by a hair.

We need to wait and see.