AN ELECTION WITH NO HOPE FOR A BETTER FUTURE

This election for me is a base model of where we are at in terms of the blind female vote, and money. I can find no evidence both female candidates ran viable campaigns.

I was not shocked to see Nurith did not respond to Roy's mailer.  It was not due to a lack of money, so it had to have been a lack of will.  She abandoned her campaign against Commissioner Bryan Martinez.  Does she run to fill a space so no one else will run? No one needs to fear Nurith.  She is not serious about holding public office.  If she wins, I do not expect much from her. 

Daisy Zamora could not overcome her blatant lie she tied with Pedro Cardinas in round one.  If Nurith or Daisy win it tells me the blind female vote remains strong.  This would not be a good thing.  But then I think, Cameron County voted for a man, Donald Trump, over a woman, Kamala Harris.  This election could see the end of the blind female vote in races where both candidates can fund their campaign.

I expect the early vote to post by 7:15 or so.  The BV will post the results.  An election is about more than a result; it is about using the data to build an analytical model for future elections. 

AT LARGE WINNER IS:

Nurith Galonsky:  

Sorry Roy, this was a slaughter - you lost the early vote by a 1000.

FINAL:  IT WAS A TRUE SLAUGHTER AGAINST ROY

The mailer did not help him.  The numbers do not lie

FINAL:  Nurith 3279, Roy 1920

The blind female vote helped Nurith

Nurith: 2405

Roy:      1406

This cannot be made up on election day.

DISTRICT 4 WINNER IS: 

Pedro Cardinas

Pedro EV 950

Daisy EV 769

Short of Pedro collapsing on election day, this result will hold

WHAT DID WE LEARN?

Other than the winners, nothing.

The undervote in the At Large race tells me I was not the only one unhappy with the choices and voted a blank ballot.

Yes, Roy came out swinging, but way too late.  We have no way of knowing if coming out swinging can flip an election.  It is never safe when a male candidate attacks a female candidate.  Women do not like this, so you better be effective and early with the swing.

A note to candidates:  Do not expect voters to go to their computer to check your claims. 

Daisy was in trouble the day she lied about having tied in round one.  That was a pretty blatant lie which told us a lot about her character.  Had I been allowed to vote in District 4, I would have voted for Pedro Cardenas.